SV Zulte Waregem 3-1 RFC Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.86
6+ Goals
9%
8.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.62 — our 26% vs market 16.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.1pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.2pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Zulte Waregem EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 26%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.52/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.48
-46% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
394 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
24.7 Crosses 21.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Zulte Waregem
3W-0D-0L
AWAY RFC Liege
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.80 xG 1.44
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
310 Passes 312
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.01.2024 RFC Liege RFC Liege 0-2 HT 0-1 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL2
21.10.2023 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 1-0 HT 0-0 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2
20.09.2017 RFC Liege RFC Liege 2-3 HT 1-1 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SV Zulte Waregem
3-1
AWAY RFC Liege
1.64 xG 0.22
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
599 Passes 225
90% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SV Zulte Waregem vs RFC Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Zulte Waregem beat RFC Liege 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had SV Zulte Waregem as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, SV Zulte Waregem had 68% of the ball to RFC Liege's 32%, shots finished 14-2, expected goals 1.64 to 0.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, SV Zulte Waregem had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for SV Zulte Waregem and 0.67 for RFC Liege.

What was the final score of SV Zulte Waregem vs RFC Liege?

SV Zulte Waregem 3-1 RFC Liege in the Belgium - 1st Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Zulte Waregem vs RFC Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a SV Zulte Waregem win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split SV Zulte Waregem 46%, draw 26%, RFC Liege 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Zulte Waregem) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SV Zulte Waregem) ✗ BTTS No
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