Bumprom 2-1 Baranovichi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 22 Sep 2024

Bumprom
2-1 HT 2-1
Baranovichi
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Belarus - 1st Division – 2024

Bumprom vs Baranovichi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bumprom v Baranovichi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bumprom EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Baranovichi EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.32/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.93
-19% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Bumprom vs Baranovichi Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bumprom
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Baranovichi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
10.09.2023 Baranovichi Baranovichi 2-1 HT 1-1 Bumprom Bumprom BLR1

Bumprom 2-1 Baranovichi — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bumprom
2-1
AWAY Baranovichi
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bumprom vs Baranovichi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bumprom squeezed past Baranovichi 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bumprom as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bumprom had 53% of the ball to Baranovichi's 47%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Bumprom vs Baranovichi?

Bumprom 2-1 Baranovichi in the Belarus - 1st Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bumprom vs Baranovichi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bumprom win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bumprom 48%, draw 28%, Baranovichi 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bumprom) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bumprom) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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