Aurora 1-0 Always Ready — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-0.9pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.5pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.6pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Always Ready EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.22/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.19
-56% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 79%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
22.9 Crosses 13.5
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aurora
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Always Ready
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.16 xG 1.32
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
214 Passes 308
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 1
09.12.2023 Aurora Aurora 4-1 HT 3-1 Always Ready Always Ready BOLPLK
29.11.2023 Always Ready Always Ready 0-1 HT 0-1 Aurora Aurora BOLPLK
09.07.2023 Always Ready Always Ready 3-1 HT 1-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
06.02.2023 Aurora Aurora 0-0 HT 0-0 Always Ready Always Ready BOLİ
17.09.2022 Always Ready Always Ready 0-1 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
12.12.2021 Aurora Aurora 3-4 HT 2-0 Always Ready Always Ready BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aurora
1-0
AWAY Always Ready
1.60 xG 0.16
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
295 Passes 281
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 7
30 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Always Ready
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora nicked a narrow win over Always Ready 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aurora as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Aurora had 52% of the ball to Always Ready's 48%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 1.60 to 0.16 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Aurora's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aurora had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aurora and 1.33 for Always Ready.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Always Ready?

Aurora 1-0 Always Ready in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Always Ready?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Aurora 42%, draw 31%, Always Ready 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aurora), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aurora) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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