Spartak Varna 0-2 Cherno More Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.54
Over 2.5
35%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
23%
2/1
11%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+5.4pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.6pp
37%
Away Win
45%
-8.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
61%
+4.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
39%
-4.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.7pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Varna EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Varna
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cherno More Varna
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 11
5 Yellow Cards 2
07.05.2023 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 3-2 HT 1-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
POST-MATCH Spartak Varna vs Cherno More Varna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cherno More Varna got the better of Spartak Varna 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 37% — and on the day Cherno More Varna made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Spartak Varna vs Cherno More Varna?

Spartak Varna 0-2 Cherno More Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Varna vs Cherno More Varna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cherno More Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Spartak Varna 32%, draw 31%, Cherno More Varna 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cherno More Varna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cherno More Varna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
22 Sep 2024
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