Al Yarmouk 1-3 Al Kuwait — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒20:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
7.95
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
65%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.17
Over 2.5
61%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
8.1
2-3 Goals
35%
2.32
4-5 Goals
31%
2.38
6+ Goals
12%
4.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
45%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
9%
+7.2pp
19%
Draw
13%
+5.3pp
65%
Away Win
78%
-12.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
28%
+10.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
72%
-10.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Yarmouk EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Kuwait EU Bookmakers 84%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.25/2.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.55/0.85
+37% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -34%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 469 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.5 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Yarmouk
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Kuwait
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
21.09.2022 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk KUVFK
09.02.2022 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait KUV
21.11.2021 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait 4-2 HT 1-1 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk KUV
20.11.2020 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk 1-3 HT 1-2 Al Kuwait Al Kuwait KUV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Yarmouk
1-3
AWAY Al Kuwait
31% Ball Possession 69%
5 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 13
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Yarmouk vs Al Kuwait
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Kuwait saw off Al Yarmouk 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Kuwait as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Al Yarmouk had 31% of the ball to Al Kuwait's 69%, shots finished 5-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Kuwait led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Al Yarmouk and 2.25 for Al Kuwait.

What was the final score of Al Yarmouk vs Al Kuwait?

Al Yarmouk 1-3 Al Kuwait in the Kuwait - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Yarmouk vs Al Kuwait?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Kuwait win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Al Yarmouk 16%, draw 19%, Al Kuwait 65%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Kuwait), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Kuwait) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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