Pulau Pinang 2-2 Negeri Sembilan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malaysia - Super League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.4pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+8.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.2pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pulau Pinang EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Negeri Sembilan EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.53/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/2.02
+26% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -19%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
506 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pulau Pinang
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Negeri Sembilan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
26.06.2023 Negeri Sembilan Negeri Sembilan 1-1 HT 0-0 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang MALES
01.03.2023 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang 0-0 HT 0-0 Negeri Sembilan Negeri Sembilan MALES
09.08.2022 Negeri Sembilan Negeri Sembilan 3-2 HT 1-1 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang MALES
09.04.2022 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang 1-1 HT 1-1 Negeri Sembilan Negeri Sembilan MALES
POST-MATCH Pulau Pinang vs Negeri Sembilan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pulau Pinang and Negeri Sembilan couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Pulau Pinang at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Negeri Sembilan led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pulau Pinang and 1.25 for Negeri Sembilan.

What was the final score of Pulau Pinang vs Negeri Sembilan?

Pulau Pinang 2-2 Negeri Sembilan in the Malaysia - Super League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pulau Pinang vs Negeri Sembilan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pulau Pinang win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Pulau Pinang 50%, draw 23%, Negeri Sembilan 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pulau Pinang) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pulau Pinang) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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MALES More Malaysia - Super League
22 Sep 2024
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