Kjelsas 2-4 Tromsdalen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.95
4-5 Goals
27%
2.78
6+ Goals
12%
7.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-8.6pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.5pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
-1.4pp
39%
BTTS No
38%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kjelsas EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tromsdalen EU Bookmakers 30%
-10% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
2.21/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.96
+16% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kjelsas
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Tromsdalen
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
08.06.2024 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen 4-1 HT 1-1 Kjelsas Kjelsas NOR3
14.08.2022 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen 0-1 HT 0-1 Kjelsas Kjelsas NOR3
19.06.2022 Kjelsas Kjelsas 6-0 HT 2-0 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen NOR3
06.09.2020 Kjelsas Kjelsas 1-1 HT 0-1 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen NOR3
16.08.2015 Kjelsas Kjelsas 3-3 HT 0-1 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen NOR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kjelsas
2-4
AWAY Tromsdalen
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
11 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kjelsas vs Tromsdalen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsdalen beat Kjelsas 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Kjelsas at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kjelsas had 52% of the ball to Tromsdalen's 48%, shots finished 15-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kjelsas had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Kjelsas and 1.60 for Tromsdalen.

What was the final score of Kjelsas vs Tromsdalen?

Kjelsas 2-4 Tromsdalen in the Norway - 2nd Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kjelsas vs Tromsdalen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kjelsas win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kjelsas 41%, draw 29%, Tromsdalen 31%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kjelsas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kjelsas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR3 More Norway - 2nd Division
22 Sep 2024
14:00 Ullensaker / Kisa vs Alta Analysis →
15:00 Kvik Halden vs Hodd Analysis →
15:30 Arendal vs Brattvag IL Analysis →
16:00 Skeid vs Junkeren Analysis →
16:00 Strindheim vs Eidsvold Turn Analysis →
16:00 Valerenga II vs Strommen Analysis →