Pogon Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pogon Siedlce v Polonia Warszawa — Team-Based Signals
Pogon Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Pogon Siedlce
POL2
2-1
HT 2-0
Polonia Warszawa
POL2
Polonia Warszawa got the better of Pogon Siedlce 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (41% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Polonia Warszawa found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pogon Siedlce had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pogon Siedlce and 0.50 for Polonia Warszawa.
What was the final score of Pogon Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa?
Pogon Siedlce 2-4 Polonia Warszawa in the Poland - 1st Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pogon Siedlce vs Polonia Warszawa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Siedlce win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pogon Siedlce 41%, draw 24%, Polonia Warszawa 36%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.