GMG Kastamonuspor 1-1 Karaköprü Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
67%
-7.9pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.4pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+4.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.0pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GMG Kastamonuspor EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Karaköprü Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
427 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH GMG Kastamonuspor vs Karaköprü Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GMG Kastamonuspor and Karaköprü Belediyespor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had GMG Kastamonuspor at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

What was the final score of GMG Kastamonuspor vs Karaköprü Belediyespor?

GMG Kastamonuspor 1-1 Karaköprü Belediyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GMG Kastamonuspor vs Karaköprü Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a GMG Kastamonuspor win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split GMG Kastamonuspor 59%, draw 24%, Karaköprü Belediyespor 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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