Estoril U23 3-0 Portimonense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 22 Sep 2024

Estoril U23
3-0
Portimonense U23
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Portugal - U23 National Championship – 2024/2025

Estoril U23 vs Portimonense U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
4%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
68%
-8.0pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.5pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estoril U23 v Portimonense U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 16%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.50/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/5.00
-36% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -71%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Estoril U23 3-0 Portimonense U23 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril U23
3-0
AWAY Portimonense U23
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Estoril U23 vs Portimonense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estoril U23 swept aside Portimonense U23 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Estoril U23 as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Estoril U23 had 54% of the ball to Portimonense U23's 46%, shots finished 16-3.

What was the final score of Estoril U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Estoril U23 3-0 Portimonense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Estoril U23 60%, draw 20%, Portimonense U23 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estoril U23), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Estoril U23) ✓ Over 2.5
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