Kiboga Young 1-0 SC Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

Kiboga Young
1-0
SC Villa
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2024/2025

Kiboga Young vs SC Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.91
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
46%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.51
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
14%
+8.4pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.0pp
46%
Away Win
62%
-15.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.0pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kiboga Young v SC Villa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kiboga Young EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY SC Villa EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +150%
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Kiboga Young 1-0 SC Villa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kiboga Young
1-0
AWAY SC Villa
58% Ball Possession 42%
4 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kiboga Young vs SC Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kiboga Young squeezed past SC Villa 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was SC Villa at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Kiboga Young had 58% of the ball to SC Villa's 42%, shots finished 4-9.

What was the final score of Kiboga Young vs SC Villa?

Kiboga Young 1-0 SC Villa in the Uganda - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kiboga Young vs SC Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated an SC Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kiboga Young 22%, draw 31%, SC Villa 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (SC Villa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SC Villa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →