Universitario de Vinto 2-2 Real Oruro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 22 Sep 2025

📅22/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.8pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oruro EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.30/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.98
-20% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
334 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
18.4 Crosses 16.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario de Vinto
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Oruro
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.31 xG 0.78
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 0
384 Passes 334
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2025 Real Oruro 2-0 HT 1-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario de Vinto
2-2
AWAY Real Oruro
0.97 xG 1.16
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
296 Passes 186
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Universitario de Vinto vs Real Oruro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario de Vinto and Real Oruro couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Universitario de Vinto at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Universitario de Vinto had 58% of the ball to Real Oruro's 42%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 0.97 to 1.16.

What was the final score of Universitario de Vinto vs Real Oruro?

Universitario de Vinto 2-2 Real Oruro in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 22/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario de Vinto vs Real Oruro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario de Vinto win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Universitario de Vinto 48%, draw 24%, Real Oruro 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Universitario de Vinto), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universitario de Vinto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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