Kairat 3-1 Zhenys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 22 Sep 2025

📅22/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.34
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
32%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
70%
-5.9pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.7pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.9pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kairat EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhenys EU Bookmakers 14%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.13/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.87
-4% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kairat
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Zhenys
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
09.05.2025 Zhenys 1-2 HT 0-2 Kairat Kairat KAZP
14.07.2024 Kairat Kairat 1-1 HT 0-0 Zhenys KAZP
12.05.2024 Zhenys 0-2 HT 0-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
POST-MATCH Kairat vs Zhenys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kairat saw off Zhenys 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kairat as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kairat had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kairat and 0.67 for Zhenys.

What was the final score of Kairat vs Zhenys?

Kairat 3-1 Zhenys in the Kazakistan - Super League on 22/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kairat vs Zhenys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Kairat 64%, draw 21%, Zhenys 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kairat) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kairat) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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