Real Madriz 1-3 Real Esteli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 22 Sep 2025

📅22/09/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
5.91
Draw
17%
4.49
Away
72%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
3%
X/2
27%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
35%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
14%
-3.1pp
17%
Draw
19%
-2.4pp
72%
Away Win
67%
+5.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madriz EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 71%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
0.85/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/0.95
-22% / +102% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
338 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 506 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madriz
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Real Esteli
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.03.2022 Real Esteli Real Esteli 4-0 HT 3-0 Real Madriz Real Madriz NİK
06.02.2022 Real Madriz Real Madriz 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
11.10.2021 Real Madriz Real Madriz 1-2 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
08.08.2021 Real Esteli Real Esteli 3-0 HT 0-0 Real Madriz Real Madriz NİK
01.04.2021 Real Esteli Real Esteli 0-3 HT 0-0 Real Madriz Real Madriz NİK
01.02.2021 Real Madriz Real Madriz 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
POST-MATCH Real Madriz vs Real Esteli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Esteli got the better of Real Madriz 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Esteli as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Esteli led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Real Madriz and 1.67 for Real Esteli.

What was the final score of Real Madriz vs Real Esteli?

Real Madriz 1-3 Real Esteli in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 22/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madriz vs Real Esteli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Real Madriz 11%, draw 17%, Real Esteli 72%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Esteli), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Esteli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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