CD Castellon 2-3 Granada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 22 Oct 2024

CD Castellon
2-3 HT 2-1
Granada
📅22/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

CD Castellon vs Granada Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.94
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.14
6+ Goals
9%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94 — our 28% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.16
1/2
11%
29.5
1/X
6%
12.3
X/1
13%
5.24
X/2
11%
6.42
X/X
18%
4.88
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
16%
4.21
2/X
6%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-9.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.0pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+5.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.2pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CD Castellon v Granada — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.26/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.98
+15% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 73%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
20.3 Crosses 19.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1

CD Castellon 2-3 Granada — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Castellon
2-3
AWAY Granada
1.78 xG 1.74
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
345 Passes 188
78% Pass Accuracy 66%
23 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH CD Castellon vs Granada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Granada squeezed past CD Castellon 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; Granada found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CD Castellon had 61% of the ball to Granada's 39%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.78 to 1.74.

What was the final score of CD Castellon vs Granada?

CD Castellon 2-3 Granada in the Spain - 2nd Division on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Castellon vs Granada?

Before kick-off our model rated an Granada win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split CD Castellon 32%, draw 30%, Granada 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Granada) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Granada) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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