Istiqlol 0-1 Al Wihdat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 22 Oct 2024

Istiqlol
0-1 HT 0-0
Al Wihdat
📅22/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
AFCŞL2 – 2024/2025

Istiqlol vs Al Wihdat Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.67
Over
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2.7
2-3
43%
1.77
4-5
22%
4.34
6+
9%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.3pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.8pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Istiqlol v Al Wihdat — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Istiqlol The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wihdat The Market 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Istiqlol 0-1 Al Wihdat — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istiqlol
0-1
AWAY Al Wihdat
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Istiqlol vs Al Wihdat
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wihdat squeezed past Istiqlol 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Al Wihdat found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Istiqlol had 49% of the ball to Al Wihdat's 51%, shots finished 9-14.

What was the final score of Istiqlol vs Al Wihdat?

Istiqlol 0-1 Al Wihdat in the AFCŞL2 on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Istiqlol vs Al Wihdat?

Before kick-off our model rated a Istiqlol win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Istiqlol 40%, draw 25%, Al Wihdat 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Istiqlol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Istiqlol) ✓ Under 2.5
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