USM El Harrach 1-0 MB Rouisset — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 2nd Division, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.47
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.6
Over
35%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.51
No
65%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
39%
4-5
16%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
57%
Home Win
64%
-6.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+3.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.0pp
35%
BTTS Yes
36%
-0.6pp
65%
BTTS No
64%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM El Harrach The Market 68%
Head to Head
AWAY MB Rouisset The Market 15%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +78% / +78%
0.98/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-40% / +119% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH USM El Harrach vs MB Rouisset
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM El Harrach squeezed past MB Rouisset 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had USM El Harrach as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

What was the final score of USM El Harrach vs MB Rouisset?

USM El Harrach 1-0 MB Rouisset in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM El Harrach vs MB Rouisset?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM El Harrach win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split USM El Harrach 57%, draw 27%, MB Rouisset 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM El Harrach), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM El Harrach) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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