Universidad Catolica 0-1 Independiente Del Valle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Cup, 22 Oct 2024

Universidad Catolica
0-1
Independiente Del Valle
📅22/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Ecuador - Cup – 2024

Universidad Catolica vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.64
Over
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
42%
4-5
18%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.5pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.4pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Universidad Catolica v Independiente Del Valle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universidad Catolica The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Del Valle The Market 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
275 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Universidad Catolica vs Independiente Del Valle Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universidad Catolica
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 3
325 Passes 284
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
The Meetings
31.05.2019 Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 3-2 HT 2-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle CON CSA
24.05.2019 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 5-0 HT 4-0 Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica CON CSA
POST-MATCH Universidad Catolica vs Independiente Del Valle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle nicked a narrow win over Universidad Catolica 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Independiente Del Valle made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Universidad Catolica and 3.50 for Independiente Del Valle.

What was the final score of Universidad Catolica vs Independiente Del Valle?

Universidad Catolica 0-1 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Cup on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universidad Catolica vs Independiente Del Valle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universidad Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Universidad Catolica 36%, draw 31%, Independiente Del Valle 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Universidad Catolica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universidad Catolica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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