Difaa El Jadida 1-0 Moghreb Tetouan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.44
Over 2.5
34%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.4
No
63%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
14%
6.57
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.2pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.8pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
66%
+0.8pp
34%
Over 2.5
34%
-0.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
38%
-0.4pp
63%
BTTS No
62%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Difaa El Jadida EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Moghreb Tetouan EU Bookmakers 25%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -13%
1.25/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.24
-2% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Difaa El Jadida
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Moghreb Tetouan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.04.2023 Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida 0-0 HT 0-0 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
15.10.2022 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 1-1 HT 0-0 Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida FAS
18.05.2021 Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida 2-2 HT 1-0 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
13.12.2020 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan 2-2 HT 1-1 Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida FAS
27.08.2020 Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida 2-0 HT 2-0 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
26.08.2020 Difaa El Jadida Difaa El Jadida 2-0 HT 0-0 Moghreb Tetouan Moghreb Tetouan FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Difaa El Jadida
1-0
AWAY Moghreb Tetouan
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Difaa El Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Difaa El Jadida squeezed past Moghreb Tetouan 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Difaa El Jadida as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Difaa El Jadida had 51% of the ball to Moghreb Tetouan's 49%, shots finished 10-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Difaa El Jadida had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Difaa El Jadida and 0.83 for Moghreb Tetouan.

What was the final score of Difaa El Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan?

Difaa El Jadida 1-0 Moghreb Tetouan in the Morocco - League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Difaa El Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Difaa El Jadida win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Difaa El Jadida 43%, draw 28%, Moghreb Tetouan 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Difaa El Jadida), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Difaa El Jadida) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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