Bednja 0-3 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
12.23
Draw
20%
8.78
Away
67%
1.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
2%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
2%
2/2
40%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
8%
+4.6pp
20%
Draw
11%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bednja EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka EU Bookmakers 97%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.08/0.69
-100% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -15%
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
178 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 631 · 89%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bednja
0-3
AWAY Rijeka
30% Ball Possession 70%
1 Total Shots 20
0 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bednja vs Rijeka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka swept aside Bednja 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rijeka as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bednja had 30% of the ball to Rijeka's 70%, shots finished 1-20.

What was the final score of Bednja vs Rijeka?

Bednja 0-3 Rijeka in the Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bednja vs Rijeka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Bednja 13%, draw 20%, Rijeka 67%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijeka), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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