Cliftonville 2-1 Coleraine FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.66
No
56%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 30% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.6
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.95
X/1
17%
4.42
X/2
7%
7.36
X/X
10%
5.28
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
11%
5.25
2/X
8%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.0pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 30%
+11% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.93/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.60
+17% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cliftonville
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Coleraine FC
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-2 HT 0-2 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
10.02.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 4-1 HT 2-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
05.01.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-3 HT 0-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRK
28.10.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
26.09.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 5-0 HT 1-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
10.05.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 2-1 HT 2-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Cliftonville vs Coleraine FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cliftonville squeezed past Coleraine FC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cliftonville as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cliftonville had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Cliftonville and 0.83 for Coleraine FC.

What was the final score of Cliftonville vs Coleraine FC?

Cliftonville 2-1 Coleraine FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cliftonville vs Coleraine FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cliftonville win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cliftonville 48%, draw 27%, Coleraine FC 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cliftonville) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cliftonville) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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