Gornik Leczna 1-0 Wisla Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.76
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.24
6+ Goals
12%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 26% vs market 21.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-0.6pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-3.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Krakow EU Bookmakers 54%
+13% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -23%
1.13/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.36
+6% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -32%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Leczna
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Wisla Krakow
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.43 xG 1.08
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
264 Passes 492
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 23
26 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.12.2023 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 4-0 HT 1-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
22.07.2023 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 2-2 HT 1-1 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL1
03.06.2023 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 0-3 HT 0-2 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL1
04.11.2022 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 1-2 HT 1-1 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
21.02.2022 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 0-0 HT 0-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL
21.08.2021 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-3 HT 0-1 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Leczna
1-0
AWAY Wisla Krakow
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gornik Leczna vs Wisla Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Leczna nicked a narrow win over Wisla Krakow 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Wisla Krakow at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Gornik Leczna had 51% of the ball to Wisla Krakow's 49%, shots finished 5-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wisla Krakow led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gornik Leczna and 2.17 for Wisla Krakow.

What was the final score of Gornik Leczna vs Wisla Krakow?

Gornik Leczna 1-0 Wisla Krakow in the Poland - 1st Division on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gornik Leczna vs Wisla Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wisla Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gornik Leczna 25%, draw 29%, Wisla Krakow 46%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wisla Krakow) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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