Express 0-1 Lugazi Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 22 Oct 2024

Express
0-1 HT 0-1
Lugazi Municipal
📅22/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2024/2025

Express vs Lugazi Municipal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.61
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
32%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
58%
-17.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
32%
Away Win
17%
+15.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.4pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Express v Lugazi Municipal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Express EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugazi Municipal EU Bookmakers 20%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.46/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-20% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +54%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.5 Yellow Cards 0.5

Express 0-1 Lugazi Municipal — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Express
0-1
AWAY Lugazi Municipal
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Express vs Lugazi Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugazi Municipal edged past Express 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Express at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Express had 64% of the ball to Lugazi Municipal's 36%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of Express vs Lugazi Municipal?

Express 0-1 Lugazi Municipal in the Uganda - Premier League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Express vs Lugazi Municipal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Express win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Express 41%, draw 27%, Lugazi Municipal 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Express) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Express) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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