Needham Market 4-2 Bury Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 22 Oct 2025

Needham Market
4-2 HT 3-1
Bury Town
📅22/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2025/2026

Needham Market vs Bury Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.7
No
41%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-11.2pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.6pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
55%
+4.6pp
41%
BTTS No
45%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Needham Market v Bury Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Needham Market EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bury Town EU Bookmakers 27%
-11% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.13/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.60
+13% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
421 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Needham Market 4-2 Bury Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Needham Market
4-2
AWAY Bury Town
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Needham Market vs Bury Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Needham Market saw off Bury Town 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Needham Market as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Needham Market had 61% of the ball to Bury Town's 39%, shots finished 15-5.

What was the final score of Needham Market vs Bury Town?

Needham Market 4-2 Bury Town in the England - Non League Premier on 22/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Needham Market vs Bury Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Needham Market win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Needham Market 42%, draw 29%, Bury Town 29%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Needham Market), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Needham Market) ✓ BTTS Yes
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