CS Cartagines 1-0 Motagua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup, 22 Oct 2025

📅22/10/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
28%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+3.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Cartagines EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Motagua EU Bookmakers 31%
-62% / -62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/3.48
-34% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -59%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
Crosses 21.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Cartagines
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Motagua
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
15.08.2025 Motagua Motagua 0-0 HT 0-0 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines CONOAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Cartagines
1-0
AWAY Motagua
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CS Cartagines vs Motagua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Cartagines squeezed past Motagua 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CS Cartagines as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, CS Cartagines had 44% of the ball to Motagua's 56%, shots finished 12-13.

What was the final score of CS Cartagines vs Motagua?

CS Cartagines 1-0 Motagua in the CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup on 22/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Cartagines vs Motagua?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Cartagines win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split CS Cartagines 47%, draw 28%, Motagua 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CS Cartagines), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CS Cartagines) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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