Nacional 2-0 12 de Octubre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Cup, 22 Oct 2025

Nacional
2-0 HT 1-0
12 de Octubre
📅22/10/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Paraguay - Cup – 2025

Nacional vs 12 de Octubre Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.88
No
41%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
67%
-14.9pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.1pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+8.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
49%
+10.0pp
41%
BTTS No
51%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nacional v 12 de Octubre — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY 12 de Octubre EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-43% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
497 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.1 Yellow Cards –

Nacional vs 12 de Octubre Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional
0W-2D-0L
AWAY 12 de Octubre
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.76 xG 0.54
72% Ball Possession 29%
11 Total Shots 6
0 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
575 Passes 164
83% Pass Accuracy 61%
17 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.04.2021 Nacional Nacional 0-0 HT 0-0 12 de Octubre 12 de Octubre CSA
17.03.2021 12 de Octubre 12 de Octubre 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Nacional CSA

Nacional 2-0 12 de Octubre — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional
2-0
AWAY 12 de Octubre
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nacional vs 12 de Octubre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional saw off 12 de Octubre 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nacional as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nacional had 58% of the ball to 12 de Octubre's 42%, shots finished 15-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Nacional and 0.00 for 12 de Octubre.

What was the final score of Nacional vs 12 de Octubre?

Nacional 2-0 12 de Octubre in the Paraguay - Cup on 22/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional vs 12 de Octubre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Nacional 52%, draw 26%, 12 de Octubre 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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