Sporting CP U19 2-1 Marsilya U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 22 Oct 2025

📅22/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.43
Over 2.5
62%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.6
No
37%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
60%
-3.5pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.0pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
38%
+0.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
62%
-0.8pp
63%
BTTS Yes
58%
+4.4pp
37%
BTTS No
42%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP U19 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsilya U19 EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+7% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
426 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.8 Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP U19
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Marsilya U19
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.10.2022 Sporting CP U19 Sporting CP U19 1-1 HT 0-0 Marsilya U19 Marsilya U19 UEGL
04.10.2022 Marsilya U19 Marsilya U19 0-6 HT 0-3 Sporting CP U19 Sporting CP U19 UEGL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP U19
2-1
AWAY Marsilya U19
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sporting CP U19 vs Marsilya U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP U19 edged past Marsilya U19 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting CP U19 as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Sporting CP U19 had 51% of the ball to Marsilya U19's 49%, shots finished 7-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sporting CP U19 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Sporting CP U19 and 0.50 for Marsilya U19.

What was the final score of Sporting CP U19 vs Marsilya U19?

Sporting CP U19 2-1 Marsilya U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 22/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP U19 vs Marsilya U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP U19 56%, draw 22%, Marsilya U19 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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