Portland Hearts of Pine 6-1 Spokane Velocity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 22 Oct 2025

Portland Hearts of Pine
6-1 HT 4-1
Spokane Velocity
📅22/10/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - USL League 1 – 2025

Portland Hearts of Pine vs Spokane Velocity Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
40%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.3pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.8pp
40%
Away Win
31%
+9.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.9pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Portland Hearts of Pine v Spokane Velocity — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portland Hearts of Pine EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 34%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.41/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.38
+37% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
18.5 Crosses 19.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.4

Portland Hearts of Pine vs Spokane Velocity Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portland Hearts of Pine
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Spokane Velocity
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.16 xG 1.54
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 4
280 Passes 460
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
6 Box Touches 31
7 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.04.2025 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity 0-0 HT 0-0 Portland Hearts of Pine USL1

Portland Hearts of Pine 6-1 Spokane Velocity — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portland Hearts of Pine
6-1
AWAY Spokane Velocity
2.15 xG 0.75
33% Ball Possession 67%
13 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
182 Passes 473
68% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Portland Hearts of Pine vs Spokane Velocity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portland Hearts of Pine ran out comfortable winners over Spokane Velocity 6-1. Half-time: 4-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 22% / 40% — and on the day Portland Hearts of Pine made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Portland Hearts of Pine had 33% of the ball to Spokane Velocity's 67%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 2.15 to 0.75.

What was the final score of Portland Hearts of Pine vs Spokane Velocity?

Portland Hearts of Pine 6-1 Spokane Velocity in the USA - USL League 1 on 22/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Spokane Velocity?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spokane Velocity win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Portland Hearts of Pine 38%, draw 22%, Spokane Velocity 40%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Spokane Velocity) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spokane Velocity) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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