Cheltenham Town 1-0 Tranmere Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
4.44
6+ Goals
10%
23.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.43
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.1
X/1
15%
4.85
X/2
10%
5.97
X/X
12%
4.17
2/1
9%
30.5
2/2
15%
4.56
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheltenham Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.46/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.54
+13% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 65%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
18.7 Crosses 19.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheltenham Town
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.64 xG 0.85
49% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
216 Passes 284
60% Pass Accuracy 67%
14 Box Touches 10
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2021 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 4-0 HT 3-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
19.09.2020 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 0-3 HT 0-3 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
12.01.2019 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-3 HT 1-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
11.08.2018 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
20.02.2016 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 0-1 HT 0-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İBSL
26.09.2015 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheltenham Town
1-0
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
0.54 xG 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
251 Passes 207
69% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cheltenham Town vs Tranmere Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheltenham Town nicked a narrow win over Tranmere Rovers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cheltenham Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Cheltenham Town had 53% of the ball to Tranmere Rovers's 47%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 0.54 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cheltenham Town and 0.83 for Tranmere Rovers.

What was the final score of Cheltenham Town vs Tranmere Rovers?

Cheltenham Town 1-0 Tranmere Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheltenham Town vs Tranmere Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cheltenham Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cheltenham Town 42%, draw 27%, Tranmere Rovers 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cheltenham Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cheltenham Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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