Getafe 2-0 Valladolid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
55%
1.51
Over 2.5
45%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.44
No
55%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.22
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
5.75
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.24
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
18.05
X/1
18%
3.54
X/2
7%
10.6
X/X
10%
3.94
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
10%
10.1
2/X
7%
19.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-3.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
37%
+8.4pp
55%
BTTS No
63%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Getafe EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Valladolid EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
1.37/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.79
-13% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
333 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 71%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
22.3 Crosses 16.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Getafe
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Valladolid
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.27 xG 1.28
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
198 Passes 290
62% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.06.2023 Valladolid Valladolid 0-0 HT 0-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
30.11.2022 Valladolid Valladolid 1-0 HT 0-1 Getafe Getafe HAZ
01.10.2022 Getafe Getafe 2-3 HT 2-2 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
06.03.2021 Valladolid Valladolid 2-1 HT 2-1 Getafe Getafe İS1
02.01.2021 Getafe Getafe 0-1 HT 0-1 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
23.06.2020 Valladolid Valladolid 1-1 HT 1-1 Getafe Getafe İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Getafe
2-0
AWAY Valladolid
0.59 xG 1.13
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
250 Passes 158
76% Pass Accuracy 60%
21 Box Touches 15
31 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Getafe vs Valladolid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Getafe beat Valladolid 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Getafe as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Getafe had 56% of the ball to Valladolid's 44%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 0.59 to 1.13 — the balance of chances actually favoured Valladolid.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valladolid led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Getafe and 1.33 for Valladolid.

What was the final score of Getafe vs Valladolid?

Getafe 2-0 Valladolid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Getafe vs Valladolid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Getafe win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Getafe 53%, draw 24%, Valladolid 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Getafe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Getafe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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