Royal Antwerp 1-1 Dender EH — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.25
6+ Goals
13%
11.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.0
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.25
X/1
20%
3.83
X/2
8%
11.0
X/X
7%
5.79
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.55
2/2
8%
8.54
2/X
8%
16.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.55 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-4.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.3pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Dender EH EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
2.03/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/2.95
+15% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -97% / +65%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 71%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
18.0 Crosses 21.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royal Antwerp
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Dender EH
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
04.06.2009 Dender EH Dender EH 1-2 HT 0-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL2
31.05.2009 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 0-2 HT 0-1 Dender EH Dender EH BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Royal Antwerp
1-1
AWAY Dender EH
1.65 xG 0.92
74% Ball Possession 26%
27 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
673 Passes 201
90% Pass Accuracy 73%
48 Box Touches 22
41 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Royal Antwerp vs Dender EH
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Royal Antwerp and Dender EH shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Royal Antwerp at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Royal Antwerp had 74% of the ball to Dender EH's 26%, shots finished 27-9, expected goals 1.65 to 0.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Royal Antwerp and 1.50 for Dender EH.

What was the final score of Royal Antwerp vs Dender EH?

Royal Antwerp 1-1 Dender EH in the Belgium - Pro League on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royal Antwerp vs Dender EH?

Before kick-off our model rated a Royal Antwerp win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Royal Antwerp 55%, draw 24%, Dender EH 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Royal Antwerp), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Royal Antwerp) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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