Persebaya Surabaya 2-1 Persija Jakarta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.5pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Persija Jakarta EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.02/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.25
-26% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persebaya Surabaya
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Persija Jakarta
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
465 Passes 307
16.12.2022 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta 1-1 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
14.02.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 3-3 HT 1-1 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta ENDL1
26.10.2021 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta 0-1 HT 0-1 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
17.12.2019 Persija Jakarta Persija Jakarta 1-2 HT 1-2 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
POST-MATCH Persebaya Surabaya vs Persija Jakarta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persebaya Surabaya edged past Persija Jakarta 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Persebaya Surabaya made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Persebaya Surabaya had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Persebaya Surabaya and 1.25 for Persija Jakarta.

What was the final score of Persebaya Surabaya vs Persija Jakarta?

Persebaya Surabaya 2-1 Persija Jakarta in the Indonesia League 1 on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persebaya Surabaya vs Persija Jakarta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persebaya Surabaya win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Persebaya Surabaya 38%, draw 30%, Persija Jakarta 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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