Ajax Cape Town 1-1 Baroka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.41
Over 2.5
36%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.5pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.6pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
67%
-3.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
33%
+3.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.4pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax Cape Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Baroka EU Bookmakers 32%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.47/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.13
+25% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax Cape Town
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Baroka
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
2.10 xG 1.51
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
359 Passes 184
72% Pass Accuracy 57%
19 Box Touches 30
28 Crosses 38
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2023 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town 3-2 HT 1-1 Baroka Baroka GAF1
01.03.2023 Baroka Baroka 2-3 HT 1-2 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town GAF1
10.02.2023 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town 3-0 HT 0-0 Baroka Baroka GAF8K
08.02.2021 Baroka Baroka 1-1 HT 1-0 Ajax Cape Town Ajax Cape Town GAF8K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax Cape Town
1-1
AWAY Baroka
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ajax Cape Town vs Baroka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax Cape Town and Baroka couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ajax Cape Town at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Ajax Cape Town had 49% of the ball to Baroka's 51%, shots finished 17-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ajax Cape Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Ajax Cape Town and 1.25 for Baroka.

What was the final score of Ajax Cape Town vs Baroka?

Ajax Cape Town 1-1 Baroka in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax Cape Town vs Baroka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax Cape Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ajax Cape Town 41%, draw 27%, Baroka 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ajax Cape Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ajax Cape Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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