Fard Alborz 0-1 Kheybar Khorramabad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Cup, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒14:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
7.95
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
55%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.2
2-3 Goals
40%
1.99
4-5 Goals
25%
2.76
6+ Goals
10%
7.08
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Kheybar Khorramabad win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
10%
+18.0pp
17%
Draw
16%
+1.4pp
55%
Away Win
74%
-19.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fard Alborz EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Kheybar Khorramabad EU Bookmakers 79%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
247 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Fard Alborz vs Kheybar Khorramabad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kheybar Khorramabad squeezed past Fard Alborz 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kheybar Khorramabad as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Fard Alborz vs Kheybar Khorramabad?

Fard Alborz 0-1 Kheybar Khorramabad in the Iran - Cup on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fard Alborz vs Kheybar Khorramabad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kheybar Khorramabad win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Fard Alborz 27%, draw 17%, Kheybar Khorramabad 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kheybar Khorramabad), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kheybar Khorramabad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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