KCB Nairobi 2-1 Talanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.66
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
29%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
56%
-15.9pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.8pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+11.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.9pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KCB Nairobi EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Talanta EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +120% / +92%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KCB Nairobi
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Talanta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
20.10.2021 Talanta 1-1 HT 0-0 KCB Nairobi KCB Nairobi KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KCB Nairobi
2-1
AWAY Talanta
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KCB Nairobi vs Talanta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KCB Nairobi edged past Talanta 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day KCB Nairobi made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KCB Nairobi had 52% of the ball to Talanta's 48%, shots finished 11-7.

What was the final score of KCB Nairobi vs Talanta?

KCB Nairobi 2-1 Talanta in the Kenya - Premier League on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KCB Nairobi vs Talanta?

Before kick-off our model rated a KCB Nairobi win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split KCB Nairobi 40%, draw 31%, Talanta 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KCB Nairobi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KCB Nairobi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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