Kotwica Kolobrzeg 0-5 Nieciecza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.4
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
48%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.39
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.57
6+ Goals
8%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 31% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
15%
+6.8pp
30%
Draw
21%
+9.0pp
48%
Away Win
64%
-15.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kotwica Kolobrzeg EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Nieciecza EU Bookmakers 69%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.11
+3% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -20%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
247 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kotwica Kolobrzeg
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Nieciecza
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
28.09.2023 Kotwica Kolobrzeg Kotwica Kolobrzeg 4-4 HT 2-1 Nieciecza Nieciecza POLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kotwica Kolobrzeg
0-5
AWAY Nieciecza
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Nieciecza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nieciecza cruised past Kotwica Kolobrzeg 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nieciecza as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kotwica Kolobrzeg had 43% of the ball to Nieciecza's 57%, shots finished 7-14.

What was the final score of Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Nieciecza?

Kotwica Kolobrzeg 0-5 Nieciecza in the Poland - 1st Division on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Nieciecza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nieciecza win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kotwica Kolobrzeg 22%, draw 30%, Nieciecza 48%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nieciecza), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nieciecza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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