Pendikspor 2-2 Ümraniyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No OUR CALL
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.99
2-3 Goals
35%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.99
6+ Goals
8%
18.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 34% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.59
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.75
X/1
22%
4.16
X/2
9%
7.8
X/X
13%
4.64
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
11%
6.19
2/X
5%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.2pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 28%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.04/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.61
-48% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
18.8 Crosses 15.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pendikspor
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Ümraniyespor
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
14.02.2016 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 3-0 HT 2-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor S2-B
04.10.2015 Pendikspor Pendikspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor S2-B
15.11.2014 Pendikspor Pendikspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pendikspor
2-2
AWAY Ümraniyespor
0.50 xG 2.37
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
225 Passes 380
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pendikspor vs Ümraniyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pendikspor and Ümraniyespor shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Pendikspor at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pendikspor had 39% of the ball to Ümraniyespor's 61%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.50 to 2.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ümraniyespor led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Pendikspor and 1.33 for Ümraniyespor.

What was the final score of Pendikspor vs Ümraniyespor?

Pendikspor 2-2 Ümraniyespor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pendikspor vs Ümraniyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pendikspor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Pendikspor 48%, draw 26%, Ümraniyespor 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pendikspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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