Buriram United 2-0 Sukhothai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.18
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
79%
-15.6pp
19%
Draw
12%
+6.9pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+8.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
24%
+17.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
76%
-17.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.7pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buriram United EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Sukhothai EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.95/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.64
+9% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -27%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
454 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 76%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
21.9 Crosses 16.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buriram United
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Sukhothai
4.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.88 xG 0.29
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
388 Passes 258
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 6
24 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
22.01.2023 Sukhothai Sukhothai 0-3 HT 0-1 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
19.08.2022 Buriram United Buriram United 6-1 HT 4-0 Sukhothai Sukhothai TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buriram United
2-0
AWAY Sukhothai
2.36 xG 0.24
72% Ball Possession 28%
24 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 2
15 Corners 0
574 Passes 169
89% Pass Accuracy 66%
41 Box Touches 7
36 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Buriram United vs Sukhothai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buriram United got the better of Sukhothai 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Buriram United as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Buriram United had 72% of the ball to Sukhothai's 28%, shots finished 24-3, expected goals 2.36 to 0.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Buriram United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.50 goals for Buriram United and 0.50 for Sukhothai.

What was the final score of Buriram United vs Sukhothai?

Buriram United 2-0 Sukhothai in the Thailand - 1st Division on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buriram United vs Sukhothai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Buriram United 64%, draw 19%, Sukhothai 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buriram United), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Buriram United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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