Ben Guerdane 1-1 ES Tunis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 22 Nov 2024

Ben Guerdane
1-1 HT 1-0
ES Tunis
📅22/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Tunisia - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.09
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
51%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.38
Over 2.5
34%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.67
No
69%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.94
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
14%
7.14
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
25%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
17%
-1.2pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.9pp
51%
Away Win
54%
-2.5pp
66%
Under 2.5
69%
-3.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
31%
+3.1pp
31%
BTTS Yes
33%
-2.0pp
69%
BTTS No
67%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ben Guerdane v ES Tunis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ben Guerdane EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Tunis EU Bookmakers 57%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +20%
0.00/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.28
-100% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +58%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
253 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ben Guerdane
0W-1D-5L
AWAY ES Tunis
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.06.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 2-0 HT 0-0 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN
02.03.2023 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 1-2 HT 1-1 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN
22.02.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 4-0 HT 4-0 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TNUSK
26.06.2022 ES Tunis ES Tunis 2-1 HT 0-1 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN
19.05.2022 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 0-3 HT 0-1 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1
16.03.2022 ES Tunis ES Tunis 0-0 HT 0-0 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN1A
POST-MATCH Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ben Guerdane and ES Tunis couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was ES Tunis at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (69%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ES Tunis led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ben Guerdane and 2.17 for ES Tunis.

What was the final score of Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis?

Ben Guerdane 1-1 ES Tunis in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis?

Before kick-off our model rated an ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ben Guerdane 16%, draw 33%, ES Tunis 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (ES Tunis), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ES Tunis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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