Kitara 4-0 UPDF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 22 Nov 2024

Kitara
4-0 HT 3-0
UPDF
📅22/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-6.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.0pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kitara EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY UPDF EU Bookmakers 21%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.23/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.64
-33% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +84% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kitara
4-0
AWAY UPDF
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kitara vs UPDF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kitara ran out comfortable winners over UPDF 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kitara as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Kitara had 43% of the ball to UPDF's 57%, shots finished 13-4.

What was the final score of Kitara vs UPDF?

Kitara 4-0 UPDF in the Uganda - Premier League on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kitara vs UPDF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kitara win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Kitara 52%, draw 25%, UPDF 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kitara), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kitara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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UGA More Uganda - Premier League
22 Nov 2024
19:00 URA vs Vipers Analysis →