Karpaty Lviv 1-0 Kolos Kovalivka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.27
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
23%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.44
Over 2.5
43%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
40%
+9.2pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.1pp
23%
Away Win
29%
-6.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
66%
-9.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
34%
+9.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.9pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karpaty Lviv EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolos Kovalivka EU Bookmakers 32%
-18% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +12%
1.04/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.79
-12% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +45%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karpaty Lviv
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Kolos Kovalivka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
29.02.2020 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 2-1 HT 2-0 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
28.09.2019 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 1-2 HT 1-2 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karpaty Lviv
1-0
AWAY Kolos Kovalivka
5 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Karpaty Lviv vs Kolos Kovalivka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karpaty Lviv squeezed past Kolos Kovalivka 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Karpaty Lviv as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 5-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kolos Kovalivka led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Karpaty Lviv and 2.00 for Kolos Kovalivka.

What was the final score of Karpaty Lviv vs Kolos Kovalivka?

Karpaty Lviv 1-0 Kolos Kovalivka in the Ukraine - Premier League on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karpaty Lviv vs Kolos Kovalivka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karpaty Lviv win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Karpaty Lviv 49%, draw 28%, Kolos Kovalivka 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karpaty Lviv), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karpaty Lviv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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