Kallithea 1-2 Panserraikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 22 Nov 2024

Kallithea
1-2 HT 0-1
Panserraikos
📅22/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2024/2025

Kallithea vs Panserraikos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.67
Over 2.5
52%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.78
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
4.31
6+ Goals
11%
21.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.31 — our 25% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.11
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.3
X/1
16%
4.72
X/2
10%
6.8
X/X
12%
4.07
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
12%
5.22
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.0pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.1pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kallithea v Panserraikos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kallithea EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.75/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.77
+37% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
– Crosses 14.2
– Yellow Cards 3.4

Kallithea 1-2 Panserraikos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kallithea
1-2
AWAY Panserraikos
2.40 xG 1.08
47% Ball Possession 53%
21 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
256 Passes 345
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
25 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Kallithea vs Panserraikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panserraikos edged past Kallithea 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kallithea at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kallithea had 47% of the ball to Panserraikos's 53%, shots finished 21-15, expected goals 2.40 to 1.08 — on chances, Kallithea could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Kallithea vs Panserraikos?

Kallithea 1-2 Panserraikos in the Greece - Super League on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kallithea vs Panserraikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kallithea win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kallithea 43%, draw 29%, Panserraikos 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kallithea) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kallithea) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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