Ebbsfleet United 2-1 Chesham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Nov 2025

Ebbsfleet United
2-1 HT 1-1
Chesham United
📅22/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2025/2026

Ebbsfleet United vs Chesham United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
52%
1.76
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.9
Over
49%
1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
29%
3.18
2-3
42%
1.75
4-5
22%
3.43
6+
7%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.18 — our 29% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Ebbsfleet United v Chesham United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Ebbsfleet United The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesham United The Market 26%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
2.26 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.16
0.92 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.30
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Strong
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Ebbsfleet United 2-1 Chesham United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebbsfleet United
2-1
AWAY Chesham United
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Ebbsfleet United vs Chesham United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ebbsfleet United squeezed past Chesham United 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Ebbsfleet United as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 49% on both teams scoring.

Under the surface, possession split 56% to 44% in Ebbsfleet United's favour, shots finished 13-10.

Ebbsfleet United vs Chesham United Result & Final Score

Ebbsfleet United 2-1 Chesham United in the England - Conference on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ebbsfleet United vs Chesham United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Ebbsfleet United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 52%, draw 19%, Chesham United 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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