Burgos Promesas 2000 0-1 Numancia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+0.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgos Promesas 2000 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Numancia EU Bookmakers 49%
-10% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -26%
0.76/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.33
-21% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -30%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
243 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgos Promesas 2000
0-1
AWAY Numancia
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Burgos Promesas 2000 vs Numancia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Numancia nicked a narrow win over Burgos Promesas 2000 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Numancia as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Burgos Promesas 2000 had 41% of the ball to Numancia's 59%, shots finished 7-12.

What was the final score of Burgos Promesas 2000 vs Numancia?

Burgos Promesas 2000 0-1 Numancia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgos Promesas 2000 vs Numancia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Numancia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Burgos Promesas 2000 27%, draw 28%, Numancia 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Numancia), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Numancia) ✓ Under 2.5
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