Genoa (K) 1-3 Napoli (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 22 Nov 2025

Genoa (K)
1-3 HT 1-0
Napoli (K)
📅22/11/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Italya - Women's Serie A – 2025/2026

Genoa (K) vs Napoli (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
28%
+8.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Genoa (K) v Napoli (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genoa (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
+54% / +54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
0.48/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/2.15
-44% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +115% / -48%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
275 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 80%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
10.0 Crosses 11.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Genoa (K) 1-3 Napoli (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genoa (K)
1-3
AWAY Napoli (K)
1.77 xG 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
197 Passes 283
66% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 38
17 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Genoa (K) vs Napoli (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napoli (K) got the better of Genoa (K) 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Napoli (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Genoa (K) had 44% of the ball to Napoli (K)'s 56%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 1.77 to 1.50.

What was the final score of Genoa (K) vs Napoli (K)?

Genoa (K) 1-3 Napoli (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genoa (K) vs Napoli (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Napoli (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Genoa (K) 36%, draw 24%, Napoli (K) 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napoli (K)) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Napoli (K)) ✗ Under 2.5
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