Sturm Graz II 0-3 WSPG Wels — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 22 Nov 2025

Sturm Graz II
0-3 HT 0-2
WSPG Wels
📅22/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Sturm Graz II vs WSPG Wels Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.09
2-3 Goals
35%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.52
6+ Goals
15%
14.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.12
1/2 EV+ ✗
5%
28.0
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
15%
5.98
X/2
11%
5.45
X/X
11%
4.66
2/1
4%
30.0
2/2
21%
3.58
2/X
5%
13.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.0 — our 5% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+4.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.8pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sturm Graz II v WSPG Wels — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz II EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY WSPG Wels EU Bookmakers 42%
+5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+18% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
278 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 74%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
14.7 Crosses –
3.1 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz II vs WSPG Wels
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

WSPG Wels cruised past Sturm Graz II 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; WSPG Wels found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz II vs WSPG Wels?

Sturm Graz II 0-3 WSPG Wels in the Austria - 1st Division on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz II vs WSPG Wels?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sturm Graz II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz II 39%, draw 24%, WSPG Wels 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Sturm Graz II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sturm Graz II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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