ASM Oran 0-1 USM El Harrach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 2nd Division, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
36%
2.63
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.36
Over 2.5
36%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.33
No
53%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
23%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.1pp
36%
Draw
35%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
70%
-6.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
30%
+6.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
39%
+8.3pp
53%
BTTS No
61%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ASM Oran EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY USM El Harrach EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.06/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.80
+3% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ASM Oran
0W-2D-0L
AWAY USM El Harrach
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
3 Total Shots 6
0 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
05.02.2022 USM El Harrach USM El Harrach 1-1 HT 1-0 ASM Oran ASM Oran CZYR2
26.10.2021 ASM Oran ASM Oran 0-0 HT 0-0 USM El Harrach USM El Harrach CZYR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ASM Oran
0-1
AWAY USM El Harrach
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ASM Oran vs USM El Harrach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM El Harrach edged past ASM Oran 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 36% / 28% — and on the day USM El Harrach made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, ASM Oran had 60% of the ball to USM El Harrach's 40%, shots finished 15-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for ASM Oran and 0.50 for USM El Harrach.

What was the final score of ASM Oran vs USM El Harrach?

ASM Oran 0-1 USM El Harrach in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ASM Oran vs USM El Harrach?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split ASM Oran 35%, draw 36%, USM El Harrach 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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