Politeh Chişinau 3-1 CSF Balti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.69
Draw
17%
3.72
Away
45%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
24%
+13.9pp
17%
Draw
24%
-6.9pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-6.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Politeh Chişinau EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY CSF Balti EU Bookmakers 56%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.05/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.80
-8% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Politeh Chişinau
0W-0D-2L
AWAY CSF Balti
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
21.09.2025 CSF Balti CSF Balti 3-2 HT 0-2 Politeh Chişinau MOLD
26.07.2025 Politeh Chişinau 0-1 HT 0-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Politeh Chişinau
3-1
AWAY CSF Balti
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 14
11 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Politeh Chişinau vs CSF Balti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Politeh Chişinau got the better of CSF Balti 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was CSF Balti at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Politeh Chişinau had 43% of the ball to CSF Balti's 57%, shots finished 15-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, CSF Balti led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Politeh Chişinau and 2.00 for CSF Balti.

What was the final score of Politeh Chişinau vs CSF Balti?

Politeh Chişinau 3-1 CSF Balti in the Moldova - National League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Politeh Chişinau vs CSF Balti?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSF Balti win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Politeh Chişinau 38%, draw 17%, CSF Balti 46%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CSF Balti) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSF Balti) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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