Kairouan 0-1 ES Metlaoui — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 22 Nov 2025

Kairouan
0-1 HT 0-0
ES Metlaoui
📅22/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Tunisia - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Kairouan vs ES Metlaoui Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.36
Over 2.5
36%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.51
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.75
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
14%
7.62
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.7pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.0pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
70%
-6.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
30%
+6.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.5pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kairouan v ES Metlaoui — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kairouan EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Metlaoui EU Bookmakers 32%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.27/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/0.95
+31% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards –

Kairouan vs ES Metlaoui Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kairouan
1W-1D-1L
AWAY ES Metlaoui
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
10.03.2021 Kairouan Kairouan 1-1 HT 1-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1
27.12.2020 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 2-0 HT 1-0 Kairouan Kairouan TUN1
24.11.2019 Kairouan Kairouan 1-0 HT 0-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1
POST-MATCH Kairouan vs ES Metlaoui
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Metlaoui nicked a narrow win over Kairouan 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; ES Metlaoui found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kairouan and 1.00 for ES Metlaoui.

What was the final score of Kairouan vs ES Metlaoui?

Kairouan 0-1 ES Metlaoui in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kairouan vs ES Metlaoui?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kairouan win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kairouan 38%, draw 31%, ES Metlaoui 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kairouan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kairouan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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