Kwara United 1-0 Katsina United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.47
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
3.08
No
59%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
64%
-6.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
28%
+12.2pp
59%
BTTS No
72%
-12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kwara United EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Katsina United EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.42/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.29/1.59
-14% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
306 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kwara United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Katsina United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
30.09.2023 Katsina United Katsina United 1-0 HT 0-0 Kwara United Kwara United NIJ
28.03.2021 Katsina United Katsina United 1-2 HT 1-1 Kwara United Kwara United NIJ
POST-MATCH Kwara United vs Katsina United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kwara United squeezed past Katsina United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kwara United as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kwara United and 1.00 for Katsina United.

What was the final score of Kwara United vs Katsina United?

Kwara United 1-0 Katsina United in the Nigeria NPFL on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kwara United vs Katsina United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kwara United win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Kwara United 58%, draw 23%, Katsina United 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kwara United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kwara United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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